Solar Lattice

Concept

Bathtub failure curve

ID
concept:bathtub-curve
IRI
https://solarlattice.org/kb/concept/bathtub-curve
Status
active
Also known as
infant mortality, wear-out failures, bathtub curve
Category
Reliability
Concept kind
technology

The bathtub curve is the typical shape of a product's failure rate over its service life when you look at a large population of units. The name comes from that shape. The curve has three segments: early failures, also called infant mortality, then a long stretch of constant random failures, and finally wear-out. Infant mortality reflects the quality of the manufacturing process. These failures tend to show up very soon after installation, and the failure rate falls over time. Manufacturers reduce them with in-factory testing. In the flat middle segment, failures are random and the rate stays roughly constant. This segment reflects how reliable the design is in its operating environment, and it is the part of the curve that mean time between failures describes. Getting through infant mortality does not mean a unit will last until wear-out. A low rate of random failures continues throughout the useful life. Wear-out makes the failure rate rise at the end of a product's design life, and this sets its useful service life. In life-data analysis, the Weibull shape parameter shows which segment applies: values below one mean infant mortality, one means random failures (the exponential distribution), and values above one mean wear-out.

<!-- review notes

Claims

related_to

c1 verified · fact Mean time between failures

MTBF relates to the failure rate in the constant-failure segment between infant mortality and wear-out.

verified by: review-workflowverified on: 2026-10-24

c2 drafted · lead Weibull distribution proposed

The Weibull shape parameter beta separates infant mortality (beta below 1), random failures (beta equal to 1) and wear-out (beta above 1).

review note: support check: partial - u6 gives the beta thresholds for infant mortality, random failure and wear-out, but it never links the Weibull distribution to the bathtub curve by name.

c3 drafted · lead Microinverter

The Enphase tech brief says its microinverters show the typical bathtub failure curve.

Referenced by

Data